Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 42.24%. A win for Metz had a probability of 32.14% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.88%) and 0-2 (7.16%). The likeliest Metz win was 1-0 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Monaco in this match.
| Result | ||
| Metz | Draw | Monaco |
| 32.14% | 25.62% | 42.24% |
| Both teams to score 54.61% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.7% | 49.29% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.65% | 71.35% |
| Metz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.1% | 28.89% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.23% | 64.77% |
| Monaco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.8% | 23.2% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.91% | 57.09% |
| Score Analysis |
| Metz | Draw | Monaco |
| 1-0 @ 8.32% 2-1 @ 7.55% 2-0 @ 5.17% 3-1 @ 3.12% 3-2 @ 2.28% 3-0 @ 2.14% 4-1 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.59% Total : 32.14% | 1-1 @ 12.15% 0-0 @ 6.7% 2-2 @ 5.51% 3-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.61% | 0-1 @ 9.79% 1-2 @ 8.88% 0-2 @ 7.16% 1-3 @ 4.33% 0-3 @ 3.49% 2-3 @ 2.69% 1-4 @ 1.58% 0-4 @ 1.27% 2-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.07% Total : 42.24% |