Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bordeaux win with a probability of 43.17%. A draw had a probability of 28.8% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 28.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bordeaux win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.67%) and 2-1 (8.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.16%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 0-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bordeaux | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
| 43.17% | 28.75% | 28.08% |
| Both teams to score 43.6% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.55% | 62.46% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.93% | 82.07% |
| Bordeaux Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.26% | 28.74% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.43% | 64.57% |
| Montpellier HSC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.18% | 38.82% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.45% | 75.55% |
| Score Analysis |
| Bordeaux | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
| 1-0 @ 13.91% 2-0 @ 8.67% 2-1 @ 8.21% 3-0 @ 3.61% 3-1 @ 3.41% 3-2 @ 1.61% 4-0 @ 1.12% 4-1 @ 1.06% Other @ 1.56% Total : 43.17% | 1-1 @ 13.16% 0-0 @ 11.15% 2-2 @ 3.88% Other @ 0.55% Total : 28.74% | 0-1 @ 10.55% 1-2 @ 6.23% 0-2 @ 5% 1-3 @ 1.96% 0-3 @ 1.58% 2-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 1.54% Total : 28.07% |