Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bordeaux win with a probability of 37.28%. A win for Lens had a probability of 35.32% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bordeaux win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.04%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Lens win was 1-0 (10.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lens | Draw | Bordeaux |
| 35.32% | 27.4% | 37.28% |
| Both teams to score 49.61% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.01% | 55.99% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.92% | 77.08% |
| Lens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.84% | 30.16% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.69% | 66.31% |
| Bordeaux Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.04% | 28.96% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.15% | 64.85% |
| Score Analysis |
| Lens | Draw | Bordeaux |
| 1-0 @ 10.47% 2-1 @ 7.78% 2-0 @ 6.28% 3-1 @ 3.11% 3-0 @ 2.51% 3-2 @ 1.93% 4-1 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.33% Total : 35.32% | 1-1 @ 12.97% 0-0 @ 8.74% 2-2 @ 4.82% Other @ 0.87% Total : 27.4% | 0-1 @ 10.82% 1-2 @ 8.04% 0-2 @ 6.71% 1-3 @ 3.32% 0-3 @ 2.77% 2-3 @ 1.99% 1-4 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.6% Total : 37.27% |