Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 53.09%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Bordeaux had a probability of 22.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.7%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.58%), while for a Bordeaux win it was 0-1 (6.95%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Monaco | Draw | Bordeaux |
| 53.09% | 24.36% | 22.55% |
| Both teams to score 51.11% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.67% | 50.33% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.72% | 72.27% |
| Monaco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.1% | 18.9% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.61% | 50.39% |
| Bordeaux Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.02% | 36.98% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.23% | 73.76% |
| Score Analysis |
| Monaco | Draw | Bordeaux |
| 1-0 @ 11.64% 2-0 @ 9.7% 2-1 @ 9.65% 3-0 @ 5.39% 3-1 @ 5.36% 3-2 @ 2.67% 4-0 @ 2.24% 4-1 @ 2.23% 4-2 @ 1.11% Other @ 3.11% Total : 53.09% | 1-1 @ 11.58% 0-0 @ 6.99% 2-2 @ 4.8% Other @ 0.98% Total : 24.35% | 0-1 @ 6.95% 1-2 @ 5.76% 0-2 @ 3.46% 1-3 @ 1.91% 2-3 @ 1.59% 0-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 1.72% Total : 22.55% |