Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 49%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Bordeaux had a probability of 24.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.47%) and 2-1 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.39%), while for a Bordeaux win it was 0-1 (8.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Marseille | Draw | Bordeaux |
| 49% | 26.27% | 24.73% |
| Both teams to score 47.86% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.21% | 55.79% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.08% | 76.92% |
| Marseille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.19% | 22.81% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.47% | 56.53% |
| Bordeaux Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62% | 38% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.23% | 74.77% |
| Score Analysis |
| Marseille | Draw | Bordeaux |
| 1-0 @ 12.81% 2-0 @ 9.47% 2-1 @ 9.16% 3-0 @ 4.66% 3-1 @ 4.51% 3-2 @ 2.18% 4-0 @ 1.72% 4-1 @ 1.67% Other @ 2.82% Total : 49% | 1-1 @ 12.39% 0-0 @ 8.67% 2-2 @ 4.43% Other @ 0.77% Total : 26.26% | 0-1 @ 8.39% 1-2 @ 6% 0-2 @ 4.06% 1-3 @ 1.93% 2-3 @ 1.43% 0-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 1.61% Total : 24.73% |