Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 38.85%. A win for Lens had a probability of 31.79% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.7%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Lens win was 0-1 (11.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.39%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lille | Draw | Lens |
| 38.85% | 29.36% | 31.79% |
| Both teams to score 43.43% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.64% | 63.36% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.27% | 82.73% |
| Lille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.32% | 31.68% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.9% | 68.1% |
| Lens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.58% | 36.42% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.79% | 73.21% |
| Score Analysis |
| Lille | Draw | Lens |
| 1-0 @ 13.26% 2-1 @ 7.7% 2-0 @ 7.62% 3-1 @ 2.95% 3-0 @ 2.92% 3-2 @ 1.49% Other @ 2.91% Total : 38.85% | 1-1 @ 13.39% 0-0 @ 11.54% 2-2 @ 3.89% Other @ 0.54% Total : 29.36% | 0-1 @ 11.65% 1-2 @ 6.77% 0-2 @ 5.89% 1-3 @ 2.28% 0-3 @ 1.98% 2-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 1.91% Total : 31.78% |