Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 67.75%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Nimes had a probability of 12.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.47%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.34%), while for a Nimes win it was 0-1 (4.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Marseille | Draw | Nimes |
| 67.75% | 19.68% | 12.56% |
| Both teams to score 45.91% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.04% | 46.95% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.79% | 69.2% |
| Marseille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.14% | 12.86% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.76% | 39.23% |
| Nimes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.69% | 47.31% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.28% | 82.71% |
| Score Analysis |
| Marseille | Draw | Nimes |
| 2-0 @ 12.79% 1-0 @ 12.47% 2-1 @ 9.58% 3-0 @ 8.75% 3-1 @ 6.55% 4-0 @ 4.49% 4-1 @ 3.36% 3-2 @ 2.45% 5-0 @ 1.84% 5-1 @ 1.38% 4-2 @ 1.26% Other @ 2.82% Total : 67.73% | 1-1 @ 9.34% 0-0 @ 6.08% 2-2 @ 3.59% Other @ 0.68% Total : 19.68% | 0-1 @ 4.55% 1-2 @ 3.5% 0-2 @ 1.7% Other @ 2.81% Total : 12.56% |