Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 67.75%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Nimes had a probability of 12.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.47%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.34%), while for a Nimes win it was 0-1 (4.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Marseille | Draw | Nimes |
67.75% | 19.68% | 12.56% |
Both teams to score 45.91% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.04% | 46.95% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.79% | 69.2% |
Marseille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.14% | 12.86% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.76% | 39.23% |
Nimes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52.69% | 47.31% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.28% | 82.71% |
Score Analysis |
Marseille | Draw | Nimes |
2-0 @ 12.79% 1-0 @ 12.47% 2-1 @ 9.58% 3-0 @ 8.75% 3-1 @ 6.55% 4-0 @ 4.49% 4-1 @ 3.36% 3-2 @ 2.45% 5-0 @ 1.84% 5-1 @ 1.38% 4-2 @ 1.26% Other @ 2.82% Total : 67.73% | 1-1 @ 9.34% 0-0 @ 6.08% 2-2 @ 3.59% Other @ 0.68% Total : 19.68% | 0-1 @ 4.55% 1-2 @ 3.5% 0-2 @ 1.7% Other @ 2.81% Total : 12.56% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 26 | 17 | 8 | 1 | 62 | 23 | 39 | 59 |
2 | Brest | 26 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 36 | 20 | 16 | 47 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 47 | 36 | 11 | 46 |
4 | Lille | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 37 | 23 | 14 | 43 |
5 | Nice | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 43 |
6 | Lens | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 35 | 27 | 8 | 42 |
7 | Marseille | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 40 | 28 | 12 | 39 |
8 | Rennes | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 40 | 31 | 9 | 39 |
9 | Reims | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 34 | 35 | -1 | 38 |
10 | Lyon | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 30 | 40 | -10 | 34 |
11 | Toulouse | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 29 | 36 | -7 | 29 |
12 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 28 | 39 | -11 | 29 |
13 | Le HavreLe Havre | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 26 | 33 | -7 | 27 |
14 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 26 |
15 | Lorient | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 35 | 49 | -14 | 26 |
16 | NantesNantes | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 24 | 41 | -17 | 25 |
17 | Metz | 26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 23 | 39 | -16 | 23 |
18 | Clermont | 26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 19 | 43 | -24 | 20 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |