Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 46.85%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 27.06% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (8.66%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 0-1 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lens | Draw | Strasbourg |
| 46.85% | 26.08% | 27.06% |
| Both teams to score 50.32% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.46% | 53.54% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.94% | 75.05% |
| Lens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.16% | 22.84% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.43% | 56.56% |
| Strasbourg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.22% | 34.78% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.48% | 71.51% |
| Score Analysis |
| Lens | Draw | Strasbourg |
| 1-0 @ 11.73% 2-1 @ 9.15% 2-0 @ 8.66% 3-1 @ 4.5% 3-0 @ 4.26% 3-2 @ 2.38% 4-1 @ 1.66% 4-0 @ 1.57% Other @ 2.93% Total : 46.85% | 1-1 @ 12.38% 0-0 @ 7.94% 2-2 @ 4.83% Other @ 0.92% Total : 26.08% | 0-1 @ 8.39% 1-2 @ 6.54% 0-2 @ 4.43% 1-3 @ 2.3% 2-3 @ 1.7% 0-3 @ 1.56% Other @ 2.14% Total : 27.06% |