Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 46.85%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 27.06% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (8.66%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 0-1 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lens | Draw | Strasbourg |
46.85% | 26.08% | 27.06% |
Both teams to score 50.32% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.46% | 53.54% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.94% | 75.05% |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.16% | 22.84% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.43% | 56.56% |
Strasbourg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.22% | 34.78% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.48% | 71.51% |
Score Analysis |
Lens | Draw | Strasbourg |
1-0 @ 11.73% 2-1 @ 9.15% 2-0 @ 8.66% 3-1 @ 4.5% 3-0 @ 4.26% 3-2 @ 2.38% 4-1 @ 1.66% 4-0 @ 1.57% Other @ 2.93% Total : 46.85% | 1-1 @ 12.38% 0-0 @ 7.94% 2-2 @ 4.83% Other @ 0.92% Total : 26.08% | 0-1 @ 8.39% 1-2 @ 6.54% 0-2 @ 4.43% 1-3 @ 2.3% 2-3 @ 1.7% 0-3 @ 1.56% Other @ 2.14% Total : 27.06% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 29 | 19 | 9 | 1 | 69 | 25 | 44 | 66 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 29 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 55 | 38 | 17 | 55 |
3 | Brest | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 44 | 29 | 15 | 53 |
4 | Lille | 29 | 14 | 10 | 5 | 43 | 25 | 18 | 52 |
5 | Nice | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 31 | 22 | 9 | 47 |
6 | Lens | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 39 | 32 | 7 | 46 |
7 | Rennes | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 44 | 36 | 8 | 42 |
8 | Lyon | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 41 |
9 | Marseille | 29 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 40 |
10 | Reims | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 40 |
11 | Toulouse | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 37 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 36 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 33 | 41 | -8 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 30 | 9 | 4 | 17 | 28 | 48 | -20 | 31 |
15 | Metz | 30 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 29 |
16 | Le HavreLe Havre | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 28 |
17 | Lorient | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 35 | 55 | -20 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 30 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 21 | 49 | -28 | 22 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |