Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 42.51%. A win for Angers had a probability of 30.27% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.62%) and 0-2 (7.94%). The likeliest Angers win was 1-0 (9.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Angers | Draw | Marseille |
| 30.27% | 27.22% | 42.51% |
| Both teams to score 48.87% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.67% | 56.33% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.64% | 77.36% |
| Angers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.21% | 33.78% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.55% | 70.45% |
| Marseille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.8% | 26.2% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.71% | 61.29% |
| Score Analysis |
| Angers | Draw | Marseille |
| 1-0 @ 9.61% 2-1 @ 6.98% 2-0 @ 5.21% 3-1 @ 2.53% 3-0 @ 1.89% 3-2 @ 1.69% Other @ 2.37% Total : 30.27% | 1-1 @ 12.86% 0-0 @ 8.85% 2-2 @ 4.68% Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.21% | 0-1 @ 11.85% 1-2 @ 8.62% 0-2 @ 7.94% 1-3 @ 3.85% 0-3 @ 3.55% 2-3 @ 2.09% 1-4 @ 1.29% 0-4 @ 1.19% Other @ 2.14% Total : 42.5% |