Champions League
Dec 9, 2020 8.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT Etihad Stadium
  • Ferran Torres 48' goal
  • Sergio Aguero 77' goal
  • Alvaro Gonzalez 90' goal
  • yellowcard Pape Gueye 39'

Manchester City vs Marseille - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester City

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Dec 1, 2020 8.00pm
Porto 0 - 0 Man City

Marseille

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Dec 1, 2020 8.00pm
Marseille 2 - 1 Olympiacos

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 62.29%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Marseille had a probability of 17.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.24%) and 1-0 (8.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.14%), while for a Marseille win it was 1-2 (4.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.

Result

Manchester City 62.29%
Draw 19.93%
Marseille 17.78%

Both Teams to Score: 

58.09%

Goals

Over 2.5 62.63%
Under 2.5 37.36%
Over 3.5 40.42%
Under 3.5 59.58%

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5 88.49%
Under 0.5 11.51%
Over 1.5 63.6%
Under 1.5 36.4%

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5 65.64%
Under 0.5 34.35%
Over 1.5 28.94%
Under 1.5 71.06%

Score analysis

Manchester City 62.29%
Draw 19.93%
Marseille 17.78%
Manchester City
2-1 @ 9.87%
2-0 @ 9.24%
1-0 @ 8.55%
3-1 @ 7.12%
3-0 @ 6.66%
4-1 @ 3.85%
3-2 @ 3.8%
4-0 @ 3.6%
4-2 @ 2.05%
5-1 @ 1.66%
5-0 @ 1.56%
Other @ 4.33%
Total : 62.29%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.14%
2-2 @ 5.28%
0-0 @ 3.96%
3-3 @ 1.35%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 19.93%
Marseille
1-2 @ 4.88%
0-1 @ 4.23%
0-2 @ 2.26%
2-3 @ 1.88%
1-3 @ 1.74%
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 17.78%

Head to Head

Champions League
Oct 27, 2020 8.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT Orange Vélodrome
  • Jordan Amavi 62' yellowcard
  • Duje Caleta-Car 71' yellowcard
  • goal Ferran Torres 18'
  • yellowcard Aymeric Laporte 58'
  • goal Ilkay Gundogan 76'
  • goal Raheem Sterling 81'

Build-up

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