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Champions League

Porto
Champions League | Group Stage
Nov 3, 2020 at 8pm UK
Estádio Do Dragão
Marseille

Porto
3 - 0
Marseille

Marega (4'), Oliveira (28' pen.), Diaz (69')
Oliveira (32')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Thauvin (36'), Kamara (58'), Amavi (64'), Gonzalez (79'), Strootman (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Porto and Marseille, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 49.9%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 28.21% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.56%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest Marseille win was 1-2 (6.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
PortoDrawMarseille
49.9%21.88%28.21%
Both teams to score 65.51%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.01%33.99%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.14%55.85%
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.95%14.04%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.39%41.61%
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.21%23.79%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.05%57.94%
Score Analysis
    Porto 49.9%
    Marseille 28.21%
    Draw 21.88%
PortoDrawMarseille
2-1 @ 9.24%
1-0 @ 6.56%
2-0 @ 6.44%
3-1 @ 6.05%
3-2 @ 4.34%
3-0 @ 4.21%
4-1 @ 2.97%
4-2 @ 2.13%
4-0 @ 2.07%
5-1 @ 1.17%
4-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 3.72%
Total : 49.9%
1-1 @ 9.42%
2-2 @ 6.64%
0-0 @ 3.34%
3-3 @ 2.08%
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 21.88%
1-2 @ 6.76%
0-1 @ 4.8%
0-2 @ 3.44%
1-3 @ 3.24%
2-3 @ 3.18%
0-3 @ 1.65%
1-4 @ 1.16%
2-4 @ 1.14%
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 28.21%