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Sergio Aguero
21'
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Kyle Walker
28'
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Bernardo Silva
34'
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Joao Cancelo
36'
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Ilkay Gundogan
65'
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Eric Garcia
67'
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Ferran Torres
73'
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Fernandinho
90'
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Luis Diaz
14'
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Pepe
84'
Manchester City vs Porto - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Reaction
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The match
Result
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Match Preview
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Predicted Lineups
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Injuries & Suspensions
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 62.63%. A win for Porto had a probability of 19.58% and a draw had a probability of 17.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.45%) and 2-0 (6.05%). The likeliest Porto win was 1-2 (4.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (6.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.
Result
Manchester City
62.63%
Draw
17.79%
Porto
19.58%
Both Teams to Score:
70.28%
Goals
Over 2.5
76.46%
Under 2.5
23.54%
Over 3.5
57.01%
Under 3.5
42.99%
Manchester City Goals
Over 0.5
92.52%
Under 0.5
7.48%
Over 1.5
73.12%
Under 1.5
26.87%
Porto Goals
Over 0.5
75.96%
Under 0.5
24.04%
Over 1.5
41.69%
Under 1.5
58.31%
Score analysis
Manchester City
62.63%
Draw
17.79%
Porto
19.58%
Manchester City
2-1
@
8.62%
3-1 @ 7.45%
2-0 @ 6.05%
3-2 @ 5.31%
3-0 @ 5.23%
4-1 @ 4.83%
1-0 @ 4.66%
4-2 @ 3.44%
4-0 @ 3.39%
5-1 @ 2.5%
5-2 @ 1.79%
5-0 @ 1.76%
4-3 @ 1.64%
6-1 @ 1.08%
Other @ 4.9%
Total : 62.63%
3-1 @ 7.45%
2-0 @ 6.05%
3-2 @ 5.31%
3-0 @ 5.23%
4-1 @ 4.83%
1-0 @ 4.66%
4-2 @ 3.44%
4-0 @ 3.39%
5-1 @ 2.5%
5-2 @ 1.79%
5-0 @ 1.76%
4-3 @ 1.64%
6-1 @ 1.08%
Other @ 4.9%
Total : 62.63%
Draw
1-1
@
6.65%
2-2 @ 6.14%
3-3 @ 2.52%
0-0 @ 1.8%
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 17.79%
2-2 @ 6.14%
3-3 @ 2.52%
0-0 @ 1.8%
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 17.79%
Porto
1-2
@
4.74%
2-3 @ 2.92%
0-1 @ 2.56%
1-3 @ 2.25%
0-2 @ 1.83%
2-4 @ 1.04%
Other @ 4.24%
Total : 19.58%
2-3 @ 2.92%
0-1 @ 2.56%
1-3 @ 2.25%
0-2 @ 1.83%
2-4 @ 1.04%
Other @ 4.24%
Total : 19.58%
Build-up
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