EFL Cup

EFL Cup | Third Round

Sep 24, 2020 at 7.45pm UK

Etihad Stadium

Man City
2 - 1
Bournemouth

Delap (18'), Foden (75')
Delap (79')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Surridge (22')
Zemura (70'), Cook (90+2')

Reaction

Liam Delap celebrates scoring on his debut for Manchester City on September 24, 2020

Liam Delap describes "dream" Manchester City debut

The 17-year-old son of former Stoke midfielder Rory put the holders ahead.

Sep 24, 22:20

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 70.27%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Bournemouth had a probability of 12.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 1-0 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.94%), while for a Bournemouth win it was 1-2 (3.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.

Result
Manchester City	Draw	Bournemouth
70.27%	17.17%	12.56%

Both teams to score 54.78%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.67%

35.32%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.64%

57.35%

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.02%

8.98%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

69.37%

30.62%

Bournemouth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.18%

39.81%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.52%

76.48%

Score Analysis

Manchester City 70.26%

Bournemouth 12.56%

Draw 17.17%

Manchester City	Draw	Bournemouth
2-0 @ 10.38% 2-1 @ 9.57% 1-0 @ 8.62% 3-0 @ 8.35% 3-1 @ 7.69% 4-0 @ 5.03% 4-1 @ 4.63% 3-2 @ 3.54% 5-0 @ 2.42% 5-1 @ 2.23% 4-2 @ 2.13% 5-2 @ 1.03% 6-0 @ 0.97% Other @ 3.68% Total : 70.26%	1-1 @ 7.94% 2-2 @ 4.4% 0-0 @ 3.58% 3-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 0.17% Total : 17.17%	1-2 @ 3.65% 0-1 @ 3.29% 0-2 @ 1.52% 2-3 @ 1.35% 1-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 1.63% Total : 12.56%