Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 55.17%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Leeds United had a probability of 22.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.79%) and 0-2 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.66%), while for a Leeds United win it was 2-1 (5.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Leeds United | Draw | Manchester City |
22.14% | 22.69% | 55.17% |
Both teams to score 55.91% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.3% | 43.7% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.91% | 66.09% |
Leeds United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.34% | 33.66% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.69% | 70.31% |
Manchester City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.28% | 15.72% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.19% | 44.81% |
Score Analysis |
Leeds United | Draw | Manchester City |
2-1 @ 5.8% 1-0 @ 5.76% 2-0 @ 3.14% 3-1 @ 2.11% 3-2 @ 1.95% 3-0 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.24% Total : 22.14% | 1-1 @ 10.66% 2-2 @ 5.37% 0-0 @ 5.29% 3-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.69% | 1-2 @ 9.86% 0-1 @ 9.79% 0-2 @ 9.06% 1-3 @ 6.08% 0-3 @ 5.59% 2-3 @ 3.31% 1-4 @ 2.81% 0-4 @ 2.58% 2-4 @ 1.53% 1-5 @ 1.04% 0-5 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.56% Total : 55.17% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 34 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 82 | 26 | 56 | 77 |
2 | Liverpool | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 75 | 34 | 41 | 74 |
3 | Manchester CityMan City | 32 | 22 | 7 | 3 | 76 | 32 | 44 | 73 |
4 | Aston Villa | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 71 | 50 | 21 | 66 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 65 | 49 | 16 | 60 |
6 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 33 | 16 | 5 | 12 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 53 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 69 | 54 | 15 | 50 |
8 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 54 | 63 | -9 | 48 |
9 | Chelsea | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 61 | 57 | 4 | 47 |
10 | Bournemouth | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 45 |
11 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 32 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 50 | 2 | 44 |
12 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 43 |
13 | Fulham | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 50 | 54 | -4 | 42 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 44 | 56 | -12 | 39 |
15 | Brentford | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 52 | 59 | -7 | 35 |
16 | Everton | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 33 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 42 | 60 | -18 | 26 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 47 | 75 | -28 | 25 |
19 | Burnley | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 37 | 69 | -32 | 23 |
20 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 34 | 3 | 7 | 24 | 33 | 92 | -59 | 16 |
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