Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 36

Jul 15, 2020 at 6pm UK

Etihad Stadium

Man City
2 - 1
Bournemouth

Silva (6'), Jesus (39')
Garcia (90+4')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Brooks (88')
Kelly (17')

Reaction

Steve Cook in action for Bournemouth on February 2, 2019

Steve Cook: 'Manchester City display shows Bournemouth can still stay up'

The Cherries were pushed closer to relegation as they went down to a 2-1 defeat at Manchester City.

Jul 16, 08:24

Bournemouth manager Eddie Howe pictured on July 1, 2020

Eddie Howe "devastated" defeat at Manchester City

The Cherries produced a spirited performance at the Etihad Stadium but fell short.

Jul 15, 21:05

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 81.23%. A draw had a probability of 12.8% and a win for Bournemouth had a probability of 6.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.04%) and 1-0 (10.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.06%), while for a Bournemouth win it was 0-1 (2.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.

Result
Manchester City	Draw	Bournemouth
81.23%	12.75%	6.02%

Both teams to score 42.15%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.68%

36.31%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.55%

58.45%

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.14%

6.86%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

74.75%

25.24%

Bournemouth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

45.25%

54.75%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

12.27%

87.73%

Score Analysis

Manchester City 81.21%

Bournemouth 6.02%

Draw 12.75%

Manchester City	Draw	Bournemouth
2-0 @ 13.48% 3-0 @ 12.04% 1-0 @ 10.06% 2-1 @ 8.13% 4-0 @ 8.07% 3-1 @ 7.26% 4-1 @ 4.86% 5-0 @ 4.33% 5-1 @ 2.61% 3-2 @ 2.19% 6-0 @ 1.93% 4-2 @ 1.47% 6-1 @ 1.16% Other @ 3.63% Total : 81.21%	1-1 @ 6.06% 0-0 @ 3.76% 2-2 @ 2.45% Other @ 0.49% Total : 12.75%	0-1 @ 2.26% 1-2 @ 1.83% Other @ 1.93% Total : 6.02%