Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 2

Sep 19, 2020 at 3pm UK

Elland Road

Leeds
4 - 3
Fulham

Costa (5', 57'), Klich (41' pen.), Bamford (50')
Klich (82')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Mitrovic (34' pen., 67'), Reid (62')
Mitrovic (88'), Tete (90')

Reaction

Leeds United manager Marcelo Bielsa pictured on September 19, 2020

Marcelo Bielsa admits he is "worried" about Leeds defence after first PL win

Promoted United beat Fulham 4-3 as Premier League football returned to Elland Road, but they have shipped seven goals already.

Sep 19, 18:17

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 51.83%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Fulham had a probability of 23.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.74%), while for a Fulham win it was 0-1 (7.2%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
Leeds United	Draw	Fulham
51.83%	24.69%	23.49%

Both teams to score 51.21%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.26%

50.74%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.36%

72.64%

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.44%

19.56%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.52%

51.48%

Fulham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.67%

36.33%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.88%

73.12%

Score Analysis

Leeds United 51.82%

Fulham 23.49%

Draw 24.68%

Leeds United	Draw	Fulham
1-0 @ 11.59% 2-1 @ 9.58% 2-0 @ 9.46% 3-1 @ 5.21% 3-0 @ 5.15% 3-2 @ 2.64% 4-1 @ 2.13% 4-0 @ 2.1% 4-2 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.9% Total : 51.82%	1-1 @ 11.74% 0-0 @ 7.11% 2-2 @ 4.85% Other @ 0.99% Total : 24.68%	0-1 @ 7.2% 1-2 @ 5.94% 0-2 @ 3.64% 1-3 @ 2.01% 2-3 @ 1.64% 0-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 1.84% Total : 23.49%