Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 1

Sep 12, 2020 at 12.30pm UK

Craven Cottage

Fulham
0 - 3
Arsenal

Hector (26'), Cairney (61')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Lacazette (8'), Magalhaes (49'), Aubameyang (57')
Aubameyang (39'), Bellerin (55')

Reaction

Arsenal manager Mikel Arteta pictured on September 12, 2020

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Sep 12, 15:04

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 40.68%. A win for Arsenal had a probability of 34.75% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.19%) and 2-0 (6.27%). The likeliest Arsenal win was 1-2 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.

Result
Fulham	Draw	Arsenal
40.68%	24.58%	34.75%

Both teams to score 58.99%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.06%

43.94%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.67%

66.33%

Fulham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.37%

21.63%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.25%

54.75%

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.28%

24.73%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.73%

59.28%

Score Analysis

Fulham 40.68%

Arsenal 34.75%

Draw 24.58%

Fulham	Draw	Arsenal
2-1 @ 8.76% 1-0 @ 8.19% 2-0 @ 6.27% 3-1 @ 4.47% 3-0 @ 3.2% 3-2 @ 3.12% 4-1 @ 1.71% 4-0 @ 1.22% 4-2 @ 1.2% Other @ 2.54% Total : 40.68%	1-1 @ 11.44% 2-2 @ 6.12% 0-0 @ 5.35% 3-3 @ 1.46% Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.58%	1-2 @ 8% 0-1 @ 7.47% 0-2 @ 5.22% 1-3 @ 3.72% 2-3 @ 2.85% 0-3 @ 2.43% 1-4 @ 1.3% 2-4 @ 1% Other @ 2.75% Total : 34.75%