Championship

Championship | Gameweek 45

Jul 19, 2020 at 2pm UK

Pride Park Stadium

Derby
1 - 3
Leeds

Martin (54')
Sibley (43')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Hernandez (56'), Shackleton (75'), Clarke (84' og.)

Reaction

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The Match

Match Report

Marcelo Bielsa's side were confirmed as Championship title winners on Saturday.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Championship clash between Derby County and Leeds United, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 55.95%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Derby County had a probability of 20.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.91%) and 1-2 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.03%), while for a Derby County win it was 1-0 (6.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
Derby County	Draw	Leeds United
20.83%	23.22%	55.95%

Both teams to score 52.32%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.44%

47.56%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.23%

69.77%

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.9%

37.1%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.12%

73.88%

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.18%

16.82%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.2%

46.8%

Score Analysis

Derby County 20.83%

Leeds United 55.95%

Draw 23.22%

Derby County	Draw	Leeds United
1-0 @ 6.19% 2-1 @ 5.47% 2-0 @ 3.07% 3-1 @ 1.81% 3-2 @ 1.61% 3-0 @ 1.01% Other @ 1.68% Total : 20.83%	1-1 @ 11.03% 0-0 @ 6.24% 2-2 @ 4.88% 3-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.22%	0-1 @ 11.12% 0-2 @ 9.91% 1-2 @ 9.83% 0-3 @ 5.89% 1-3 @ 5.84% 2-3 @ 2.9% 0-4 @ 2.63% 1-4 @ 2.6% 2-4 @ 1.29% 0-5 @ 0.94% 1-5 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.07% Total : 55.95%