Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 3

Sep 27, 2020 at 4.30pm UK

Etihad Stadium

Man City
2 - 5
Leicester

Mahrez (4'), Ake (84')
Ake (60')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Vardy (37' pen., 54', 58' pen.), Maddison (77'), Tielemans (88' pen.)
Tielemans (22'), Soyuncu (47'), Amartey (51')

Reaction

Manchester City midfielder Rodri pictured in September 2020

Rodri: 'Leicester put 11 players behind ball in Man City rout'

The midfielder felt Pep Guardiola's side were unlucky.

Sep 28, 11:30

Manchester City manager Pep Guardiola pictured during his side's 5-2 defeat to Leicester City on September 27, 2020

Pep Guardiola: 'Leicester did not want to play in rout of Manchester City'

The Foxes' stunning 5-2 triumph marked the first time a Pep Guardiola-managed side has conceded five goals.

Sep 28, 06:07

Leicester City manager Brendan Rodgers pictured in September 2020

Brendan Rodgers: 'Manchester City rout my best result as Leicester boss'

Jamie Vardy grabbed a hat-trick as the Foxes came from behind to shock one of the pre-season title favourites with a 5-2 win over Manchester City.

Sep 27, 22:16

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 67.26%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Leicester City had a probability of 14.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 1-0 (8.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.37%), while for a Leicester City win it was 1-2 (4.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
Manchester City	Draw	Leicester City
67.26%	18.23%	14.51%

Both teams to score 56.57%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.26%

35.74%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.19%

57.81%

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.21%

9.79%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67.46%

32.54%

Leicester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.71%

37.29%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.92%

74.08%

Score Analysis

Manchester City 67.26%

Leicester City 14.51%

Draw 18.23%

Manchester City	Draw	Leicester City
2-0 @ 9.86% 2-1 @ 9.73% 1-0 @ 8.48% 3-0 @ 7.64% 3-1 @ 7.53% 4-0 @ 4.44% 4-1 @ 4.38% 3-2 @ 3.72% 4-2 @ 2.16% 5-0 @ 2.06% 5-1 @ 2.04% 5-2 @ 1% Other @ 4.23% Total : 67.26%	1-1 @ 8.37% 2-2 @ 4.8% 0-0 @ 3.65% 3-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 0.19% Total : 18.23%	1-2 @ 4.13% 0-1 @ 3.6% 0-2 @ 1.78% 2-3 @ 1.58% 1-3 @ 1.36% Other @ 2.07% Total : 14.51%