Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 55.13%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Burnley had a probability of 20.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.53%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.53%), while for a Burnley win it was 0-1 (6.93%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Leicester City | Draw | Burnley |
| 55.13% | 24.33% | 20.54% |
| Both teams to score 48.51% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.58% | 52.42% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.91% | 74.09% |
| Leicester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.09% | 18.91% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.59% | 50.41% |
| Burnley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.82% | 40.18% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.19% | 76.81% |
| Score Analysis |
| Leicester City | Draw | Burnley |
| 1-0 @ 12.65% 2-0 @ 10.53% 2-1 @ 9.61% 3-0 @ 5.85% 3-1 @ 5.33% 4-0 @ 2.44% 3-2 @ 2.43% 4-1 @ 2.22% 4-2 @ 1.01% Other @ 3.05% Total : 55.12% | 1-1 @ 11.53% 0-0 @ 7.6% 2-2 @ 4.38% Other @ 0.81% Total : 24.32% | 0-1 @ 6.93% 1-2 @ 5.26% 0-2 @ 3.16% 1-3 @ 1.6% 2-3 @ 1.33% 0-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.3% Total : 20.54% |