Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 34

Jul 7, 2020 at 8.15pm UK

Emirates Stadium

Arsenal
1 - 1
Leicester

Aubameyang (21')
Mustafi (88')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Vardy (84')

Reaction

Kieran Tierney in action for Arsenal on October 3, 2019

Kieran Tierney: 'Arsenal rebuild will take time'

The Gunners played some of their best football of recent times against Leicester.

Jul 8, 11:04

Leicester City striker Jamie Vardy celebrates scoring against Arsenal on July 7, 2020

Mikel Arteta claims Jamie Vardy should have been sent off before equaliser

The Arsenal boss felt Vardy should have seen red in the first half.

Jul 7, 23:21

Arsenal manager Mikel Arteta pictured on July 7, 2020

Mikel Arteta rues Arsenal's inability to "kill the game" against Leicester

Eddie Nketiah was sent off after he went in late on James Justin.

Jul 7, 22:34

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 40.16%. A win for Arsenal had a probability of 35.11% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.28%) and 0-2 (6.24%). The likeliest Arsenal win was 2-1 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.

Result
Arsenal	Draw	Leicester City
35.11%	24.73%	40.16%

Both teams to score 58.53%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.42%

44.58%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.06%

66.94%

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.19%

24.81%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.61%

59.39%

Leicester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.84%

22.16%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.45%

55.55%

Score Analysis

Arsenal 35.11%

Leicester City 40.16%

Draw 24.72%

Arsenal	Draw	Leicester City
2-1 @ 8.05% 1-0 @ 7.66% 2-0 @ 5.34% 3-1 @ 3.74% 3-2 @ 2.82% 3-0 @ 2.48% 4-1 @ 1.3% 4-2 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.74% Total : 35.11%	1-1 @ 11.54% 2-2 @ 6.07% 0-0 @ 5.5% 3-3 @ 1.42% Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.72%	1-2 @ 8.7% 0-1 @ 8.28% 0-2 @ 6.24% 1-3 @ 4.37% 0-3 @ 3.14% 2-3 @ 3.05% 1-4 @ 1.65% 0-4 @ 1.18% 2-4 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.4% Total : 40.16%