Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 38

Jul 26, 2020 at 4pm UK

Turf Moor

Burnley
1 - 2
Brighton

Wood (44')
Brownhill (5'), Bardsley (85'), Pieters (90+4')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Bissouma (20'), Connolly (50')

Reaction

Sean Dyche laughs off speculation surrounding Burnley future

Yves Bissouma and Aaron Connolly goals earned Brighton victory.

Jul 26, 18:40

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 38.89%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 34.66% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.41%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest Burnley win was 1-0 (9.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.

Result
Burnley	Draw	Brighton & Hove Albion
34.66%	26.45%	38.89%

Both teams to score 52.54%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.75%

52.25%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.05%

73.95%

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.26%

28.74%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.42%

64.57%

Brighton & Hove Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.73%

26.26%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.62%

61.38%

Score Analysis

Burnley 34.66%

Brighton & Hove Albion 38.89%

Draw 26.45%

Burnley	Draw	Brighton & Hove Albion
1-0 @ 9.41% 2-1 @ 7.85% 2-0 @ 5.87% 3-1 @ 3.26% 3-0 @ 2.44% 3-2 @ 2.18% 4-1 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.64% Total : 34.66%	1-1 @ 12.58% 0-0 @ 7.55% 2-2 @ 5.24% 3-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.45%	0-1 @ 10.09% 1-2 @ 8.41% 0-2 @ 6.75% 1-3 @ 3.75% 0-3 @ 3.01% 2-3 @ 2.34% 1-4 @ 1.25% 0-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.29% Total : 38.89%