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Premier League | Gameweek 38
Jul 26, 2020 at 4pm UK
Turf Moor
Brighton logo

Burnley
1 - 2
Brighton

Wood (44')
Brownhill (5'), Bardsley (85'), Pieters (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Bissouma (20'), Connolly (50')

The Match

Match Report

Connolly's strike five minutes after the break settled it.

Team News

Charlie Taylor, Matt Lowton, Jack Cork, Ashley Barnes and Ben Mee are all sidelined.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Burnley and Brighton & Hove Albion, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 38.89%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 34.66% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.41%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest Burnley win was 1-0 (9.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.

Result
BurnleyDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
34.66%26.45%38.89%
Both teams to score 52.54%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.75%52.25%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.05%73.95%
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.26%28.74%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.42%64.57%
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.73%26.26%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.62%61.38%
Score Analysis
    Burnley 34.66%
    Brighton & Hove Albion 38.89%
    Draw 26.45%
BurnleyDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
1-0 @ 9.41%
2-1 @ 7.85%
2-0 @ 5.87%
3-1 @ 3.26%
3-0 @ 2.44%
3-2 @ 2.18%
4-1 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 34.66%
1-1 @ 12.58%
0-0 @ 7.55%
2-2 @ 5.24%
3-3 @ 0.97%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.45%
0-1 @ 10.09%
1-2 @ 8.41%
0-2 @ 6.75%
1-3 @ 3.75%
0-3 @ 3.01%
2-3 @ 2.34%
1-4 @ 1.25%
0-4 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 38.89%

Head to Head
Sep 14, 2019 3pm
Feb 9, 2019 5.30pm
Gameweek 26
Brighton
1-3
Burnley
Duffy (76')
Ryan (72')
Wood (26', 61'), Barnes (74' pen.)
Westwood (76')
Dec 8, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 16
Burnley
1-0
Brighton
Tarkowski (40')
Tarkowski (86'), Bardsley (90')
Apr 28, 2018 3pm
Dec 16, 2017 3pm
Brighton
0-0
Burnley
March (68'), Stephens (77'), Dunk (87'), Duffy (93')
Taylor (48'), Barnes (72')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Lions
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool15113131131836
2Chelsea1594235181731
3Arsenal1686229151430
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest168442119228
5Manchester CityMan City158342721627
6Aston Villa167452425-125
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton156632522324
8Bournemouth157352320324
9Fulham166642422224
10Brentford157263128323
11Newcastle UnitedNewcastle166552321223
12Tottenham HotspurSpurs1562731191220
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd155461918119
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham155372028-818
15Everton153661421-715
16Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
17Crystal Palace152761420-613
18Ipswich TownIpswich162681628-1212
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1512121131-205


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