Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 36

Jul 15, 2020 at 6pm UK

Turf Moor

Burnley
1 - 1
Wolves

Wood (90+6' pen.)

FT(HT: 0-0)

Jimenez (76')

Reaction

Wolverhampton Wanderers striker Raul Jimenez celebrates scoring against Burnley in the Premier League on July 15, 2020

Nuno Espirito Santo tells Wolves players to put Burnley draw behind them

The result leaves Wolves three points off the top four, having played a game more than Leicester and Manchester United.

Jul 16, 09:48

Wolverhampton Wanderers manager Nuno Espirito Santo pictured on June 27, 2020

Nuno Espirito Santo bemoans late leveller in Burnley draw

Burnley salvaged a point at the death.

Jul 15, 21:06

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolverhampton Wanderers win with a probability of 44.48%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 28.92% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.9%) and 0-2 (8.22%). The likeliest Burnley win was 1-0 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.

Result
Burnley	Draw	Wolverhampton Wanderers
28.92%	26.59%	44.48%

Both teams to score 50.03%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.49%

54.51%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.14%

75.86%

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.16%

33.83%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.5%

70.5%

Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.62%

24.38%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.21%

58.79%

Score Analysis

Burnley 28.92%

Wolverhampton Wanderers 44.48%

Draw 26.59%

Burnley	Draw	Wolverhampton Wanderers
1-0 @ 8.94% 2-1 @ 6.84% 2-0 @ 4.84% 3-1 @ 2.47% 3-0 @ 1.75% 3-2 @ 1.74% Other @ 2.34% Total : 28.92%	1-1 @ 12.61% 0-0 @ 8.25% 2-2 @ 4.83% Other @ 0.9% Total : 26.59%	0-1 @ 11.64% 1-2 @ 8.9% 0-2 @ 8.22% 1-3 @ 4.19% 0-3 @ 3.87% 2-3 @ 2.27% 1-4 @ 1.48% 0-4 @ 1.36% Other @ 2.55% Total : 44.48%