Champions League
Nov 25, 2020 8.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Orange Vélodrome
  • Leonardo Balerdi 29' yellowcard
  • Morgan Sanson 36' yellowcard
  • Boubacar Kamara 49' yellowcard
  • Florian Thauvin 54' yellowcard
  • Leonardo Balerdi 70' redcard
  • Dimitri Payet 85' yellowcard
  • goal Zaidu Sanusi 39'
  • yellowcard Marko Grujic 58'
  • yellowcard Sergio Conceicao 59'
  • redcard Marko Grujic 67'
  • goal Sergio Oliveira 72'
  • yellowcard Sergio Oliveira 86'

Marseille vs Porto - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Marseille

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Nov 3, 2020 8.00pm
Porto 3 - 0 Marseille

Porto

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Nov 3, 2020 8.00pm
Porto 3 - 0 Marseille

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 38.78%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 37.23% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.22%) and 0-2 (5.6%). The likeliest Marseille win was 2-1 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result

Marseille 37.23%
Draw 23.99%
Porto 38.78%

Both Teams to Score: 

61.49%

Goals

Over 2.5 59.16%
Under 2.5 40.84%
Over 3.5 36.77%
Under 3.5 63.23%

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5 78.03%
Under 0.5 21.97%
Over 1.5 44.73%
Under 1.5 55.26%

Porto Goals

Over 0.5 78.8%
Under 0.5 21.2%
Over 1.5 45.91%
Under 1.5 54.08%

Score analysis

Marseille 37.23%
Draw 23.99%
Porto 38.78%
Marseille
2-1 @ 8.3%
1-0 @ 7.06%
2-0 @ 5.35%
3-1 @ 4.19%
3-2 @ 3.25%
3-0 @ 2.7%
4-1 @ 1.59%
4-2 @ 1.23%
4-0 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 37.23%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.94%
2-2 @ 6.44%
0-0 @ 4.66%
3-3 @ 1.68%
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.99%
Porto
1-2 @ 8.49%
0-1 @ 7.22%
0-2 @ 5.6%
1-3 @ 4.39%
2-3 @ 3.33%
0-3 @ 2.9%
1-4 @ 1.7%
2-4 @ 1.29%
0-4 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 38.78%

Head to Head

Champions League
Nov 3, 2020 8.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estádio Do Dragão
  • Moussa Marega 4' goal
  • Sergio Oliveira 28' goal
  • Sergio Oliveira 32' yellowcard
  • Luis Diaz 69' goal
  • yellowcard Florian Thauvin 36'
  • yellowcard Boubacar Kamara 58'
  • yellowcard Jordan Amavi 64'
  • yellowcard Alvaro Gonzalez 79'
  • yellowcard Kevin Strootman 86'