Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 69.13%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 11.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.98%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.12%), while for a Portimonense win it was 0-1 (4.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Porto | Draw | Portimonense |
| 69.13% | 19.3% | 11.57% |
| Both teams to score 44.06% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.24% | 47.76% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.05% | 69.95% |
| Porto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.3% | 12.7% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.08% | 38.92% |
| Portimonense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.47% | 49.53% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.67% | 84.33% |
| Score Analysis |
| Porto | Draw | Portimonense |
| 2-0 @ 13.39% 1-0 @ 12.98% 2-1 @ 9.41% 3-0 @ 9.21% 3-1 @ 6.47% 4-0 @ 4.75% 4-1 @ 3.34% 3-2 @ 2.27% 5-0 @ 1.96% 5-1 @ 1.38% 4-2 @ 1.17% Other @ 2.78% Total : 69.12% | 1-1 @ 9.12% 0-0 @ 6.29% 2-2 @ 3.31% Other @ 0.58% Total : 19.3% | 0-1 @ 4.42% 1-2 @ 3.21% 0-2 @ 1.55% Other @ 2.39% Total : 11.57% |