Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 41.29%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 31.36% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.49%) and 0-2 (7.66%). The likeliest Lorient win was 1-0 (9.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Marseille in this match.
| Result | ||
| Lorient | Draw | Marseille |
| 31.36% | 27.34% | 41.29% |
| Both teams to score 48.94% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.56% | 56.44% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.55% | 77.45% |
| Lorient Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.95% | 33.05% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.36% | 69.64% |
| Marseille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.1% | 26.9% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.78% | 62.22% |
| Score Analysis |
| Lorient | Draw | Marseille |
| 1-0 @ 9.84% 2-1 @ 7.16% 2-0 @ 5.45% 3-1 @ 2.64% 3-0 @ 2.01% 3-2 @ 1.73% Other @ 2.53% Total : 31.36% | 1-1 @ 12.92% 0-0 @ 8.89% 2-2 @ 4.7% Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.34% | 0-1 @ 11.67% 1-2 @ 8.49% 0-2 @ 7.66% 1-3 @ 3.71% 0-3 @ 3.36% 2-3 @ 2.06% 1-4 @ 1.22% 0-4 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.03% Total : 41.29% |