Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 72.28%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 10.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.07%) and 3-0 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.35%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 0-1 (3.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Porto | Draw | Gil Vicente |
| 72.28% | 17.6% | 10.12% |
| Both teams to score 44.52% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.68% | 44.32% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.31% | 66.7% |
| Porto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.14% | 10.86% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.03% | 34.97% |
| Gil Vicente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.94% | 50.06% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.3% | 84.7% |
| Score Analysis |
| Porto | Draw | Gil Vicente |
| 2-0 @ 13.39% 1-0 @ 12.07% 3-0 @ 9.92% 2-1 @ 9.27% 3-1 @ 6.86% 4-0 @ 5.5% 4-1 @ 3.81% 5-0 @ 2.44% 3-2 @ 2.37% 5-1 @ 1.69% 4-2 @ 1.32% 6-0 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.72% Total : 72.28% | 1-1 @ 8.35% 0-0 @ 5.44% 2-2 @ 3.21% Other @ 0.6% Total : 17.6% | 0-1 @ 3.76% 1-2 @ 2.89% 0-2 @ 1.3% Other @ 2.17% Total : 10.12% |