Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 42.12%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 30.82% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 0-1 (9.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Gil Vicente in this match.
| Result | ||
| Gil Vicente | Draw | Portimonense |
| 42.12% | 27.06% | 30.82% |
| Both teams to score 49.58% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.46% | 55.53% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.29% | 76.71% |
| Gil Vicente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.96% | 26.04% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.92% | 61.08% |
| Portimonense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.03% | 32.96% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.45% | 69.54% |
| Score Analysis |
| Gil Vicente | Draw | Portimonense |
| 1-0 @ 11.55% 2-1 @ 8.62% 2-0 @ 7.77% 3-1 @ 3.87% 3-0 @ 3.49% 3-2 @ 2.15% 4-1 @ 1.3% 4-0 @ 1.17% Other @ 2.2% Total : 42.12% | 1-1 @ 12.81% 0-0 @ 8.58% 2-2 @ 4.79% Other @ 0.87% Total : 27.05% | 0-1 @ 9.53% 1-2 @ 7.11% 0-2 @ 5.29% 1-3 @ 2.63% 0-3 @ 1.96% 2-3 @ 1.77% Other @ 2.54% Total : 30.82% |