Arouca
Benfica
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Tondela
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Gil Vicente logo
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 4
Oct 17, 2020 at 3.30pm UK
Estádio Cidade de Barcelos
Tondela

Gil Vicente
1 - 1
Tondela

Lino (25')
Nogueira (41'), Afonso (75')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ferreira (58')
Augusto (45+2'), Murillo (63'), Naoufel Khacef (78')
Niasse (12')
Coverage of the Primeira Liga clash between Gil Vicente and Tondela.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 42.5%. A win for Tondela had a probability of 29.63% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (8.18%). The likeliest Tondela win was 0-1 (10.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.

Result
Gil VicenteDrawTondela
42.5%27.87%29.63%
Both teams to score 46.72%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.08%58.92%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.59%79.41%
Gil Vicente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.59%27.41%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.11%62.89%
Tondela Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.36%35.64%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.59%72.41%
Score Analysis
    Gil Vicente 42.49%
    Tondela 29.62%
    Draw 27.87%
Gil VicenteDrawTondela
1-0 @ 12.64%
2-1 @ 8.44%
2-0 @ 8.18%
3-1 @ 3.64%
3-0 @ 3.53%
3-2 @ 1.88%
4-1 @ 1.18%
4-0 @ 1.14%
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 42.49%
1-1 @ 13.04%
0-0 @ 9.77%
2-2 @ 4.36%
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 27.87%
0-1 @ 10.07%
1-2 @ 6.73%
0-2 @ 5.2%
1-3 @ 2.32%
0-3 @ 1.79%
2-3 @ 1.5%
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 29.62%