Primeira Liga | Gameweek 33

Jul 19, 2020 at 7pm UK

Estadio Nacional do Jamor

Belenenses
1 - 0
Gil Vicente

Matias (88')
Phete (16'), Sithole (23'), Matias (90'), Ferreira (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Ribeiro (57'), Pinto (66'), Sam (77'), Baraye (84')

Coverage of the Primeira Liga clash between Belenenses and Gil Vicente.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 40.93%. A win for Belenenses had a probability of 31.19% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.32%) and 0-2 (7.76%). The likeliest Belenenses win was 1-0 (10.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.

Result
Belenenses	Draw	Gil Vicente
31.19%	27.87%	40.93%

Both teams to score 47.34%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.56%

58.44%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.97%

79.03%

Belenenses Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.79%

34.21%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.09%

70.91%

Gil Vicente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.96%

28.04%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.31%

63.69%

Score Analysis

Belenenses 31.19%

Gil Vicente 40.92%

Draw 27.87%

Belenenses	Draw	Gil Vicente
1-0 @ 10.28% 2-1 @ 7.02% 2-0 @ 5.52% 3-1 @ 2.51% 3-0 @ 1.97% 3-2 @ 1.6% Other @ 2.3% Total : 31.19%	1-1 @ 13.08% 0-0 @ 9.59% 2-2 @ 4.46% Other @ 0.74% Total : 27.87%	0-1 @ 12.19% 1-2 @ 8.32% 0-2 @ 7.76% 1-3 @ 3.53% 0-3 @ 3.29% 2-3 @ 1.89% 1-4 @ 1.12% 0-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 1.79% Total : 40.92%