Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 37.99%. A win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 34.73% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.15%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Pacos de Ferreira win was 0-1 (10.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Gil Vicente | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
37.99% | 27.28% | 34.73% |
Both teams to score 49.92% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.42% | 55.57% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.25% | 76.74% |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.66% | 28.34% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.92% | 64.08% |
Pacos de Ferreira Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.66% | 30.33% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.48% | 66.52% |
Score Analysis |
Gil Vicente | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
1-0 @ 10.84% 2-1 @ 8.15% 2-0 @ 6.83% 3-1 @ 3.43% 3-0 @ 2.87% 3-2 @ 2.04% 4-1 @ 1.08% 4-0 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.84% Total : 37.99% | 1-1 @ 12.93% 0-0 @ 8.6% 2-2 @ 4.86% Other @ 0.89% Total : 27.28% | 0-1 @ 10.25% 1-2 @ 7.71% 0-2 @ 6.12% 1-3 @ 3.07% 0-3 @ 2.43% 2-3 @ 1.93% 1-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.29% Total : 34.72% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 36 |
2 | Benfica | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 31 | 7 | 24 | 31 |
3 | Porto | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 31 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 14 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 27 |
5 | Braga | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 24 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 21 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 20 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Gil Vicente | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 16 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 15 |
11 | Casa Pia | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 14 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 14 |
13 | Nacional | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 12 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 12 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 11 |
16 | AVS | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 11 |
17 | AroucaArouca | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 11 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 9 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |