Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 37.99%. A win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 34.73% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.15%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Pacos de Ferreira win was 0-1 (10.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gil Vicente | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
| 37.99% | 27.28% | 34.73% |
| Both teams to score 49.92% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.42% | 55.57% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.25% | 76.74% |
| Gil Vicente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.66% | 28.34% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.92% | 64.08% |
| Pacos de Ferreira Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.66% | 30.33% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.48% | 66.52% |
| Score Analysis |
| Gil Vicente | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
| 1-0 @ 10.84% 2-1 @ 8.15% 2-0 @ 6.83% 3-1 @ 3.43% 3-0 @ 2.87% 3-2 @ 2.04% 4-1 @ 1.08% 4-0 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.84% Total : 37.99% | 1-1 @ 12.93% 0-0 @ 8.6% 2-2 @ 4.86% Other @ 0.89% Total : 27.28% | 0-1 @ 10.25% 1-2 @ 7.71% 0-2 @ 6.12% 1-3 @ 3.07% 0-3 @ 2.43% 2-3 @ 1.93% 1-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.29% Total : 34.72% |