Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pacos de Ferreira win with a probability of 40.48%. A win for Moreirense had a probability of 32.58% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pacos de Ferreira win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.5%) and 0-2 (7.31%). The likeliest Moreirense win was 1-0 (9.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Moreirense | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
32.58% | 26.95% | 40.48% |
Both teams to score 50.54% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.4% | 54.6% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.06% | 75.94% |
Moreirense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.74% | 31.26% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.39% | 67.61% |
Pacos de Ferreira Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.51% | 26.49% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.33% | 61.68% |
Score Analysis |
Moreirense | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
1-0 @ 9.63% 2-1 @ 7.44% 2-0 @ 5.6% 3-1 @ 2.88% 3-0 @ 2.17% 3-2 @ 1.92% Other @ 2.95% Total : 32.58% | 1-1 @ 12.79% 0-0 @ 8.28% 2-2 @ 4.94% Other @ 0.94% Total : 26.94% | 0-1 @ 10.99% 1-2 @ 8.5% 0-2 @ 7.31% 1-3 @ 3.76% 0-3 @ 3.24% 2-3 @ 2.19% 1-4 @ 1.25% 0-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.16% Total : 40.47% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 25 | 21 | 2 | 2 | 75 | 25 | 50 | 65 |
2 | Benfica | 26 | 20 | 4 | 2 | 60 | 21 | 39 | 64 |
3 | Porto | 26 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 50 | 18 | 32 | 58 |
4 | Braga | 26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 55 | 34 | 21 | 53 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 26 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 41 | 27 | 14 | 50 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 27 | 1 | 42 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 43 | 37 | 6 | 34 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 25 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 28 |
9 | Gil Vicente | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 35 | 39 | -4 | 28 |
10 | BoavistaBoavista | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 33 | 51 | -18 | 28 |
11 | Casa Pia | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 23 | 39 | -16 | 27 |
12 | SC FarenseFarense | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 27 |
13 | Estrela Amadora | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 26 | 39 | -13 | 26 |
14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 42 | 49 | -7 | 25 |
15 | Rio AveRio Ave | 26 | 4 | 13 | 9 | 26 | 35 | -9 | 25 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 24 | 53 | -29 | 23 |
17 | Vizela | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 26 | 52 | -26 | 21 |
18 | ChavesChaves | 26 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 25 | 56 | -31 | 19 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |