Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tondela win with a probability of 39.4%. A win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 33.08% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tondela win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.26%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Pacos de Ferreira win was 0-1 (10.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Tondela | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
39.4% | 27.53% | 33.08% |
Both teams to score 48.89% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.26% | 56.74% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.31% | 77.69% |
Tondela Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.91% | 28.09% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.24% | 63.76% |
Pacos de Ferreira Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.99% | 32.01% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.53% | 68.48% |
Score Analysis |
Tondela | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
1-0 @ 11.41% 2-1 @ 8.26% 2-0 @ 7.25% 3-1 @ 3.5% 3-0 @ 3.07% 3-2 @ 1.99% 4-1 @ 1.11% 4-0 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.84% Total : 39.39% | 1-1 @ 13% 0-0 @ 8.99% 2-2 @ 4.7% Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.52% | 0-1 @ 10.24% 1-2 @ 7.41% 0-2 @ 5.83% 1-3 @ 2.81% 0-3 @ 2.22% 2-3 @ 1.79% Other @ 2.78% Total : 33.07% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 36 |
2 | Benfica | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 31 | 7 | 24 | 31 |
3 | Porto | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 31 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 14 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 27 |
5 | Braga | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 24 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 21 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 20 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Gil Vicente | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 16 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 15 |
11 | Casa Pia | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 14 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 14 |
13 | Nacional | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 12 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 12 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 11 |
16 | AVS | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 11 |
17 | AroucaArouca | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 11 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 9 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |