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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 33
Jul 20, 2020 at 5pm UK
Estadio Capital do Movel
Portimonense

Pacos de Ferreira
2 - 1
Portimonense

Santos (7'), Denilson (41')
Eustaquio (37'), Marcelo (45+1')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Marcelo (17' og.)
Willyan (59'), Dener (89'), Henrique (90')
Coverage of the Primeira Liga clash between Pacos de Ferreira and Portimonense.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pacos de Ferreira win with a probability of 36%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 35.84% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pacos de Ferreira win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.7%) and 2-0 (6.62%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 0-1 (11.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pacos de Ferreira would win this match.

Result
Pacos de FerreiraDrawPortimonense
36%28.16%35.84%
Both teams to score 47.32%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.16%58.84%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.66%79.34%
Pacos de Ferreira Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.84%31.16%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.51%67.49%
Portimonense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.74%31.26%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.39%67.61%
Score Analysis
    Pacos de Ferreira 36%
    Portimonense 35.83%
    Draw 28.15%
Pacos de FerreiraDrawPortimonense
1-0 @ 11.35%
2-1 @ 7.7%
2-0 @ 6.62%
3-1 @ 2.99%
3-0 @ 2.57%
3-2 @ 1.74%
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 36%
1-1 @ 13.2%
0-0 @ 9.74%
2-2 @ 4.48%
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 28.15%
0-1 @ 11.32%
1-2 @ 7.68%
0-2 @ 6.58%
1-3 @ 2.98%
0-3 @ 2.55%
2-3 @ 1.74%
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 35.83%