Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 45.36%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 27.76% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 0-1 (9.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Santa Clara | Draw | Portimonense |
| 45.36% | 26.88% | 27.76% |
| Both teams to score 48.49% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.85% | 56.15% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.79% | 77.21% |
| Santa Clara Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.32% | 24.68% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.79% | 59.21% |
| Portimonense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.38% | 35.61% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.61% | 72.38% |
| Score Analysis |
| Santa Clara | Draw | Portimonense |
| 1-0 @ 12.29% 2-1 @ 8.88% 2-0 @ 8.6% 3-1 @ 4.14% 3-0 @ 4.01% 3-2 @ 2.14% 4-1 @ 1.45% 4-0 @ 1.4% Other @ 2.42% Total : 45.35% | 1-1 @ 12.69% 0-0 @ 8.79% 2-2 @ 4.59% Other @ 0.81% Total : 26.87% | 0-1 @ 9.07% 1-2 @ 6.55% 0-2 @ 4.68% 1-3 @ 2.26% 0-3 @ 1.61% 2-3 @ 1.58% Other @ 2.01% Total : 27.76% |