Primeira Liga | Gameweek 27

Jun 17, 2020 at 7pm UK

Estadio Capital do Movel

Pacos de Ferreira
2 - 1
Belenenses

Tanque (49' pen.), Sindile Theophilus Phete (90+2' og.)
Castanheira (63'), Amaral (64'), Santos (78'), Ferreira (90+4'), Diaby-Fadiga (90+6')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Esgaio (6')
Silva (39'), Mauricio Sanches Semedo (90'), Cafumana (90+2')

Coverage of the Primeira Liga clash between Pacos de Ferreira and Belenenses.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pacos de Ferreira win with a probability of 45.25%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Belenenses had a probability of 27.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pacos de Ferreira win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.8%) and 2-1 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.83%), while for a Belenenses win it was 0-1 (9.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pacos de Ferreira would win this match.

Result
Pacos de Ferreira	Draw	Belenenses
45.25%	27.39%	27.36%

Both teams to score 46.8%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.81%

58.19%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.16%

78.84%

Pacos de Ferreira Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.35%

25.64%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.46%

60.54%

Belenenses Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.94%

37.06%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.16%

73.84%

Score Analysis

Pacos de Ferreira 45.25%

Belenenses 27.36%

Draw 27.38%

Pacos de Ferreira	Draw	Belenenses
1-0 @ 12.93% 2-0 @ 8.8% 2-1 @ 8.74% 3-0 @ 3.99% 3-1 @ 3.96% 3-2 @ 1.97% 4-0 @ 1.36% 4-1 @ 1.35% Other @ 2.16% Total : 45.25%	1-1 @ 12.83% 0-0 @ 9.5% 2-2 @ 4.34% Other @ 0.71% Total : 27.38%	0-1 @ 9.43% 1-2 @ 6.37% 0-2 @ 4.68% 1-3 @ 2.11% 0-3 @ 1.55% 2-3 @ 1.44% Other @ 1.78% Total : 27.36%