Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Desportivo das Aves win with a probability of 40.18%. A win for Belenenses had a probability of 32.26% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Desportivo das Aves win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Belenenses win was 0-1 (10.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Desportivo das Aves | Draw | Belenenses |
| 40.18% | 27.56% | 32.26% |
| Both teams to score 48.6% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.99% | 57.01% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.09% | 77.9% |
| Desportivo das Aves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.22% | 27.78% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.64% | 63.36% |
| Belenenses Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.29% | 32.71% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.74% | 69.26% |
| Score Analysis |
| Desportivo das Aves | Draw | Belenenses |
| 1-0 @ 11.63% 2-1 @ 8.33% 2-0 @ 7.45% 3-1 @ 3.56% 3-0 @ 3.18% 3-2 @ 1.99% 4-1 @ 1.14% 4-0 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.87% Total : 40.17% | 1-1 @ 13% 0-0 @ 9.09% 2-2 @ 4.66% Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.55% | 0-1 @ 10.15% 1-2 @ 7.27% 0-2 @ 5.67% 1-3 @ 2.71% 0-3 @ 2.11% 2-3 @ 1.73% Other @ 2.61% Total : 32.26% |