Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 81.29%. A draw had a probability of 12.3% and a win for had a probability of 6.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.11%) and 1-0 (8.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.77%), while for a win it was 0-1 (2.03%).
| Result | ||
| Benfica | Draw | Belenenses |
| 81.29% | 12.26% | 6.45% |
| Both teams to score 47.28% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.55% | 31.44% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.07% | 52.92% |
| Benfica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.14% | 5.85% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 77.52% | 22.47% |
| Belenenses Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.22% | 49.78% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.49% | 84.5% |
| Score Analysis |
| Benfica | Draw | Belenenses |
| 2-0 @ 11.74% 3-0 @ 11.11% 1-0 @ 8.27% 2-1 @ 8.19% 4-0 @ 7.89% 3-1 @ 7.75% 4-1 @ 5.5% 5-0 @ 4.48% 5-1 @ 3.12% 3-2 @ 2.7% 6-0 @ 2.12% 4-2 @ 1.92% 6-1 @ 1.48% 5-2 @ 1.09% Other @ 3.93% Total : 81.29% | 1-1 @ 5.77% 0-0 @ 2.91% 2-2 @ 2.86% Other @ 0.71% Total : 12.26% | 0-1 @ 2.03% 1-2 @ 2.01% Other @ 2.41% Total : 6.45% |