Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 40.06%. A win for had a probability of 32.18% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest win was 0-1 (10.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%).
| Result | ||
| Gil Vicente | Draw | Belenenses |
| 40.06% | 27.76% | 32.18% |
| Both teams to score 47.99% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.23% | 57.77% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.49% | 78.51% |
| Gil Vicente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.79% | 28.21% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.09% | 63.91% |
| Belenenses Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.84% | 33.16% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.24% | 69.76% |
| Score Analysis |
| Gil Vicente | Draw | Belenenses |
| 1-0 @ 11.83% 2-1 @ 8.27% 2-0 @ 7.49% 3-1 @ 3.49% 3-0 @ 3.16% 3-2 @ 1.93% 4-1 @ 1.1% 4-0 @ 1% Other @ 1.79% Total : 40.05% | 1-1 @ 13.06% 0-0 @ 9.35% 2-2 @ 4.56% Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.75% | 0-1 @ 10.32% 1-2 @ 7.21% 0-2 @ 5.7% 1-3 @ 2.65% 0-3 @ 2.1% 2-3 @ 1.68% Other @ 2.52% Total : 32.18% |