Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 51.74%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for had a probability of 22.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.96%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.03%), while for a win it was 0-1 (7.72%).
Result | ||
Desportivo das Aves | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
51.74% | 25.44% | 22.81% |
Both teams to score 48.22% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.69% | 54.31% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.3% | 75.7% |
Desportivo das Aves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.99% | 21.01% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.21% | 53.79% |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.04% | 38.96% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.32% | 75.68% |
Score Analysis |
Desportivo das Aves | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
1-0 @ 12.76% 2-0 @ 9.96% 2-1 @ 9.39% 3-0 @ 5.18% 3-1 @ 4.88% 3-2 @ 2.3% 4-0 @ 2.02% 4-1 @ 1.91% Other @ 3.33% Total : 51.73% | 1-1 @ 12.03% 0-0 @ 8.19% 2-2 @ 4.43% Other @ 0.79% Total : 25.44% | 0-1 @ 7.72% 1-2 @ 5.67% 0-2 @ 3.64% 1-3 @ 1.78% 2-3 @ 1.39% 0-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 1.47% Total : 22.81% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 30 | 26 | 2 | 2 | 87 | 27 | 60 | 80 |
2 | Benfica | 30 | 23 | 4 | 3 | 68 | 24 | 44 | 73 |
3 | Porto | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 55 | 24 | 31 | 62 |
4 | Braga | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 63 | 41 | 22 | 62 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 45 | 32 | 13 | 57 |
6 | AroucaArouca | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 51 | 40 | 11 | 44 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 43 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 33 | 38 | -5 | 36 |
9 | Casa Pia | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 32 |
10 | SC FarenseFarense | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 39 | 44 | -5 | 31 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 30 | 5 | 16 | 9 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 31 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 31 |
13 | BoavistaBoavista | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 30 |
14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 45 | 52 | -7 | 30 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 29 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 34 | 64 | -30 | 28 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 30 | 62 | -32 | 23 |
18 | Vizela | 30 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 29 | 62 | -33 | 21 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |