Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 57.17%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for had a probability of 18.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.11%) and 1-2 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.3%), while for a win it was 1-0 (6.65%).
| Result | ||
| Pacos de Ferreira | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
| 18.94% | 23.9% | 57.17% |
| Both teams to score 47.32% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.29% | 52.71% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.65% | 74.35% |
| Pacos de Ferreira Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.89% | 42.11% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.47% | 78.53% |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.74% | 18.26% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.69% | 49.31% |
| Score Analysis |
| Pacos de Ferreira | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
| 1-0 @ 6.65% 2-1 @ 4.89% 2-0 @ 2.88% 3-1 @ 1.41% 3-2 @ 1.2% Other @ 1.91% Total : 18.94% | 1-1 @ 11.3% 0-0 @ 7.69% 2-2 @ 4.16% Other @ 0.75% Total : 23.89% | 0-1 @ 13.07% 0-2 @ 11.11% 1-2 @ 9.62% 0-3 @ 6.3% 1-3 @ 5.45% 0-4 @ 2.68% 2-3 @ 2.36% 1-4 @ 2.32% 2-4 @ 1% 0-5 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.34% Total : 57.15% |