Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 64.06%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 14.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.83%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.2%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 0-1 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
| 64.06% | 21.71% | 14.22% |
| Both teams to score 44.24% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.3% | 51.69% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.53% | 73.47% |
| Sporting Lisbon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.5% | 15.5% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.6% | 44.39% |
| Pacos de Ferreira Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.36% | 47.64% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.04% | 82.96% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
| 1-0 @ 13.76% 2-0 @ 12.83% 2-1 @ 9.52% 3-0 @ 7.98% 3-1 @ 5.91% 4-0 @ 3.72% 4-1 @ 2.76% 3-2 @ 2.19% 5-0 @ 1.39% 5-1 @ 1.03% 4-2 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.96% Total : 64.05% | 1-1 @ 10.2% 0-0 @ 7.38% 2-2 @ 3.53% Other @ 0.59% Total : 21.7% | 0-1 @ 5.48% 1-2 @ 3.79% 0-2 @ 2.03% 1-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 2% Total : 14.23% |