Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 40.72%. A win for had a probability of 32.65% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.58%) and 0-2 (7.24%). The likeliest win was 1-0 (9.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%).
| Result | ||
| Rio Ave | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
| 32.65% | 26.63% | 40.72% |
| Both teams to score 51.55% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.68% | 53.32% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.13% | 74.87% |
| Rio Ave Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.44% | 30.56% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.21% | 66.79% |
| Sporting Lisbon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.23% | 25.77% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.29% | 60.71% |
| Score Analysis |
| Rio Ave | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
| 1-0 @ 9.34% 2-1 @ 7.5% 2-0 @ 5.53% 3-1 @ 2.97% 3-0 @ 2.19% 3-2 @ 2.01% Other @ 3.12% Total : 32.65% | 1-1 @ 12.65% 0-0 @ 7.88% 2-2 @ 5.09% 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.62% | 0-1 @ 10.67% 1-2 @ 8.58% 0-2 @ 7.24% 1-3 @ 3.88% 0-3 @ 3.27% 2-3 @ 2.3% 1-4 @ 1.32% 0-4 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.34% Total : 40.71% |