Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 66.4%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for had a probability of 13.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.4%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.41%), while for a win it was 0-1 (4.53%).
| Result | ||
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Maritimo |
| 66.4% | 19.78% | 13.82% |
| Both teams to score 49.14% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.46% | 44.54% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.09% | 66.91% |
| Sporting Lisbon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.48% | 12.52% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.46% | 38.54% |
| Maritimo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.17% | 43.83% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.01% | 79.99% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Maritimo |
| 2-0 @ 11.84% 1-0 @ 11.4% 2-1 @ 9.77% 3-0 @ 8.21% 3-1 @ 6.77% 4-0 @ 4.26% 4-1 @ 3.52% 3-2 @ 2.79% 5-0 @ 1.77% 5-1 @ 1.46% 4-2 @ 1.45% Other @ 3.15% Total : 66.38% | 1-1 @ 9.41% 0-0 @ 5.49% 2-2 @ 4.03% Other @ 0.86% Total : 19.78% | 0-1 @ 4.53% 1-2 @ 3.88% 0-2 @ 1.87% 2-3 @ 1.11% 1-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 1.38% Total : 13.82% |