Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 55.17%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for had a probability of 21.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.01%) and 1-2 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.27%), while for a win it was 1-0 (6.51%).
| Result | ||
| Vitoria de Setubal | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
| 21.13% | 23.7% | 55.17% |
| Both teams to score 51.22% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.77% | 49.23% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.71% | 71.29% |
| Vitoria de Setubal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.24% | 37.75% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.47% | 74.53% |
| Sporting Lisbon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.29% | 17.71% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.64% | 48.36% |
| Score Analysis |
| Vitoria de Setubal | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
| 1-0 @ 6.51% 2-1 @ 5.49% 2-0 @ 3.17% 3-1 @ 1.78% 3-2 @ 1.54% 3-0 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.6% Total : 21.13% | 1-1 @ 11.27% 0-0 @ 6.69% 2-2 @ 4.75% Other @ 0.99% Total : 23.7% | 0-1 @ 11.57% 0-2 @ 10.01% 1-2 @ 9.76% 0-3 @ 5.78% 1-3 @ 5.63% 2-3 @ 2.74% 0-4 @ 2.5% 1-4 @ 2.44% 2-4 @ 1.19% Other @ 3.54% Total : 55.16% |