Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 45.6%. A win for Sporting Lisbon had a probability of 28.76% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (8.04%). The likeliest Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
45.6% | 25.64% | 28.76% |
Both teams to score 52.86% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.21% | 50.79% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.32% | 72.68% |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.75% | 22.25% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.32% | 55.68% |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.99% | 32.01% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.52% | 68.48% |
Score Analysis |
Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
1-0 @ 10.7% 2-1 @ 9.16% 2-0 @ 8.04% 3-1 @ 4.59% 3-0 @ 4.03% 3-2 @ 2.62% 4-1 @ 1.73% 4-0 @ 1.52% 4-2 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.23% Total : 45.6% | 1-1 @ 12.19% 0-0 @ 7.12% 2-2 @ 5.22% 3-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.64% | 0-1 @ 8.11% 1-2 @ 6.94% 0-2 @ 4.62% 1-3 @ 2.64% 2-3 @ 1.98% 0-3 @ 1.75% Other @ 2.71% Total : 28.76% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 25 | 21 | 2 | 2 | 75 | 25 | 50 | 65 |
2 | Benfica | 26 | 20 | 4 | 2 | 60 | 21 | 39 | 64 |
3 | Porto | 26 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 50 | 18 | 32 | 58 |
4 | Braga | 26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 55 | 34 | 21 | 53 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 26 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 41 | 27 | 14 | 50 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 27 | 1 | 42 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 43 | 37 | 6 | 34 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 25 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 28 |
9 | Gil Vicente | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 35 | 39 | -4 | 28 |
10 | BoavistaBoavista | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 33 | 51 | -18 | 28 |
11 | Casa Pia | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 23 | 39 | -16 | 27 |
12 | SC FarenseFarense | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 27 |
13 | Estrela Amadora | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 26 | 39 | -13 | 26 |
14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 42 | 49 | -7 | 25 |
15 | Rio AveRio Ave | 26 | 4 | 13 | 9 | 26 | 35 | -9 | 25 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 24 | 53 | -29 | 23 |
17 | Vizela | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 26 | 52 | -26 | 21 |
18 | ChavesChaves | 26 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 25 | 56 | -31 | 19 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |