Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 57.91%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for had a probability of 18.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.24%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.18%), while for a win it was 0-1 (6.49%).
| Result | ||
| Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Tondela |
| 57.91% | 23.63% | 18.46% |
| Both teams to score 47.3% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.68% | 52.32% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.99% | 74.01% |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.16% | 17.84% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.41% | 48.59% |
| Tondela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.57% | 42.43% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.2% | 78.8% |
| Score Analysis |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Tondela |
| 1-0 @ 13.04% 2-0 @ 11.24% 2-1 @ 9.64% 3-0 @ 6.46% 3-1 @ 5.54% 4-0 @ 2.79% 4-1 @ 2.39% 3-2 @ 2.38% 4-2 @ 1.02% 5-0 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.44% Total : 57.9% | 1-1 @ 11.18% 0-0 @ 7.57% 2-2 @ 4.13% Other @ 0.75% Total : 23.63% | 0-1 @ 6.49% 1-2 @ 4.8% 0-2 @ 2.78% 1-3 @ 1.37% 2-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 1.84% Total : 18.46% |