Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 61.84%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Belenenses had a probability of 16.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.78%) and 1-2 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.46%), while for a Belenenses win it was 1-0 (5.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.
