Primeira Liga | Gameweek 29

Jun 29, 2020 at 9.15pm UK

Estadio Capital do Movel

Pacos de Ferreira
0 - 1
Porto

Marcelo (5'), Ferreira (41'), Eustaquio (44')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Mbemba (7')
Tiquinho (35'), Mbemba (55'), Marega (74')

Coverage of the Primeira Liga clash between Pacos de Ferreira and Porto.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 66.39%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 13.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.84%) and 1-2 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.5%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 1-0 (4.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
Pacos de Ferreira	Draw	Porto
13.65%	19.96%	66.39%

Both teams to score 48.05%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.27%

45.74%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.94%

68.06%

Pacos de Ferreira Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.15%

44.85%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.19%

80.81%

Porto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.12%

12.88%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.72%

39.29%

Score Analysis

Pacos de Ferreira 13.65%

Porto 66.39%

Draw 19.96%

Pacos de Ferreira	Draw	Porto
1-0 @ 4.63% 2-1 @ 3.81% 2-0 @ 1.86% 3-2 @ 1.04% 3-1 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.29% Total : 13.65%	1-1 @ 9.5% 0-0 @ 5.78% 2-2 @ 3.9% Other @ 0.79% Total : 19.96%	0-2 @ 12.13% 0-1 @ 11.84% 1-2 @ 9.73% 0-3 @ 8.29% 1-3 @ 6.65% 0-4 @ 4.25% 1-4 @ 3.41% 2-3 @ 2.67% 0-5 @ 1.74% 1-5 @ 1.4% 2-4 @ 1.37% Other @ 2.94% Total : 66.39%