Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 70.78%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Desportivo das Aves had a probability of 11.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.77%) and 1-2 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.63%), while for a Desportivo das Aves win it was 1-0 (3.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Desportivo das Aves | Draw | Porto |
| 11.07% | 18.15% | 70.78% |
| Both teams to score 46.13% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.95% | 44.05% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.56% | 66.44% |
| Desportivo das Aves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.94% | 48.06% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.72% | 83.28% |
| Porto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.82% | 11.18% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.32% | 35.68% |
| Score Analysis |
| Desportivo das Aves | Draw | Porto |
| 1-0 @ 3.94% 2-1 @ 3.16% 2-0 @ 1.44% Other @ 2.53% Total : 11.07% | 1-1 @ 8.63% 0-0 @ 5.37% 2-2 @ 3.46% Other @ 0.68% Total : 18.15% | 0-2 @ 12.89% 0-1 @ 11.77% 1-2 @ 9.45% 0-3 @ 9.42% 1-3 @ 6.9% 0-4 @ 5.16% 1-4 @ 3.78% 2-3 @ 2.53% 0-5 @ 2.26% 1-5 @ 1.66% 2-4 @ 1.39% Other @ 3.56% Total : 70.77% |